Lone-Break
0xa78bdc307abf262a45820893053ca0f3cb9fd26d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-9.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
7937 shares @ 63.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.6K
$-436.50
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
5942 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$187.17
$-12.82
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
770 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.46
$-11.54
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
2723 shares @ 7.3¢·now 5.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$162.00
$-38.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
17346 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.4K
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
6676 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
6544 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-251.78
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
1980 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-114.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$177.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$200.00May 18, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$200.00May 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$5.1KMay 18, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$6.0KMay 2, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.8KApr 7, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.0KApr 7, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$3.8KApr 7, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-07?$0.00Apr 3, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-28?$0.00Apr 3, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-07?$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritz$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Marin Cilic$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMBruins vs. Penguins$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexico$0.00Apr 3, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?$0.00Apr 3, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".