0xa7ccdf4fee269ba6d0e5b6c0a4cef57954f4949e
0xa7ccdf4fee269ba6d0e5b6c0a4cef57954f4949e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$81.64
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-65.71
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$51.45
$30.45
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
15 shares @ 49.3¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.72
$3.33
- YES
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
115 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.81
$0.56
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
12 shares @ 60.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.90
$1.75
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 20.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.75
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 4?
59 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on April 4?
55 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 4?
46 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 4?
45 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 4?
45 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.00May 18, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.64May 18, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$0.40May 18, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00May 17, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00May 17, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$4.81May 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$4.63May 17, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.00May 17, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.00May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$4.95May 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$4.63May 17, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.00May 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$4.29May 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$2.84May 17, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.00May 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$4.01May 17, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$3.00May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.32May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.79May 17, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.00May 17, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".