Worldly-Crab
0xa7d1ae08567d192db3c3cf1858c62c76dc8cb824
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$250.9K
Total PnL
$-1.1M
Realised
$-2.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
163782 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$163.8K
$28.1K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1737710 shares @ 30.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$78.2K
$-449.7K
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
51043 shares @ 20.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.9K
$-1.8K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2478192 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-148.4K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
2075013 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-307.2K
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1277287 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-176.3K
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
299999 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-17.4K
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
47988 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.8K
- YES
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
6322 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-758.62
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
259 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-37.34
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.20Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.61Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$1.2KApr 12, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$431.95Apr 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$10.02Apr 12, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$3.30Apr 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$17.64Apr 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$6.00Apr 12, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$44.06Apr 12, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$2.94Apr 12, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$75.00Apr 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$0.62Apr 12, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$1.5KApr 12, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$21.11Apr 12, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$0.69Apr 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$108.35Apr 12, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$0.06Apr 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$0.07Apr 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?$46.67Apr 12, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $166.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".