Likable-Birdcage
0xa802d3769e7ee00e24e774c90a4e2f74accb23df
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$160.25
Total PnL
$-547.65
Realised
$2.23
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3016 shares @ 9.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$54.28
$-233.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on May 18?
621 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$40.39
$-9.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3001 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$34.51
$-205.33
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
51 shares @ 19.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$260 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.99
$0.99
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
59 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.00
$0.05
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 66.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on May 18?$51.84May 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$260 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$5.00May 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$18.79May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET$1.05May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$6.05May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$1.06May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$1.06May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$1.06May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$6.21May 18, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$10.17May 18, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$4.56May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.04May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.03May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.05May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.05May 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$6.16May 17, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$3.10May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.06May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.06May 17, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.07May 17, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".