Thunderous-Nonconformist
0xa80fda40fd17867a7acd19d348a0b3a9d20846a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.85
Total PnL
$-10.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 98.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$7.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Welsh Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by April 30?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?$8.01May 16, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?$1.01May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?$8.97May 16, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?$9.00May 16, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$9.68May 16, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$9.70May 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.98May 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$9.00May 15, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$9.47May 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$9.50May 15, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$9.79May 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$9.80May 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.00May 15, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.00May 14, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harman Bhangu win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.48May 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harman Bhangu win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$1.04May 12, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$9.99May 12, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 12, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.48May 12, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?$1.18May 11, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".