Rough-Bucket
0xa817a6fc8762f1d11f6b15a69be982d0870e6714
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-686.13
Realised
$-7.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
OKX IPO in 2026?
2454 shares @ 78.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.2K
$274.73
- NO
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
234 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$234.32
$34.32
- NO
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
221 shares @ 90.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$220.51
$20.51
- YES
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
130 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.00
$0.72
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.13
$23.13
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
827 shares @ 13.6¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.13
$-65.22
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
2033 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-966.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$200.93May 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$201.46May 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$125.29Apr 28, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$451.17Apr 28, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$169.94Apr 27, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00Apr 27, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 27, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$762.06Apr 27, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$129.38Apr 27, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$200.00Apr 27, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$15.60Apr 27, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 27, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$144.54Apr 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$16.74Apr 25, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.97Apr 25, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$56.53Apr 25, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $174.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".