Dependable-Barn
0xa84627cb3f8a2feeaaef6aa597f0ee742de5f0ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$35.54
Total PnL
$-64.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.33
$-1.67
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.79
$-3.21
- YES
Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?
41 shares @ 24.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.31
$-4.69
- YES
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 12.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.90
$-5.10
- YES
Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.18
$-6.82
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
213 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.02
$-7.98
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?
132 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
66 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?$10.37May 8, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$10.38May 8, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$10.49May 8, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?$10.34May 8, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hawk" in May?$10.18May 3, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?$10.30May 3, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$10.00May 3, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?$10.36May 3, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?$10.39May 3, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$10.00May 3, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $10.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".