Barren-Underpants
0xa8485e499d597746088ed85f15f4693fb1c78a1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-543.38
Realised
$-9.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
220 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$203.54
$23.10
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
528 shares @ 56.1¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$192.80
$-103.68
- YES
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?
215 shares @ 69.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$172.69
$24.67
- NO
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
180 shares @ 91.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$158.40
$-6.85
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
330 shares @ 40.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.26
$-3.65
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
197 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.05
$1.97
- NO
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?
147 shares @ 83.9¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.13
$3.02
- YES
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$122.00
$-32.00
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
150 shares @ 89.9¢·now 75.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$113.85
$-21.00
- YES
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 4.3¢·now 39.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.83
$94.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?$108.08May 15, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Travis Scott on ICEMAN?$208.56May 15, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?$116.65May 15, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?$247.78May 15, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?$151.83May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?$10.35May 13, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?$200.00May 13, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 10?$0.34May 10, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?$54.45May 10, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?$16.11May 10, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?$67.40May 10, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 10?$1.49May 10, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?$2.70May 10, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 10?$5.85May 10, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?$14.55May 10, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?$2.24May 10, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 10?$14.13May 10, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?$10.05May 10, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?$61.68May 9, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$18.66May 9, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $37.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".