Amused-Columnist
0xa88350d4e2b9aa84b1ec3ab6348e27ad8fd631fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$106.74
Realised
$85.98
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
618 shares @ 30.0¢·now 54.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.03
$150.74
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
371 shares @ 88.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$324.45
$-2.11
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
260 shares @ 77.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$209.09
$9.09
- YES
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
2438 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.81
$-47.42
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
349 shares @ 48.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$176.49
$8.12
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1495 shares @ 10.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.03
$-16.57
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
122 shares @ 87.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$110.61
$4.11
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
113 shares @ 73.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.19
$0.99
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
74 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$69.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1030 shares @ 6.3¢·now 6.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$67.98
$3.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$18.05May 18, 09:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$20.71May 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.74May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.56May 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$24.66May 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$23.13May 17, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$10.00May 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$20.00May 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$114.14May 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$40.75May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$40.00May 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$73.89May 17, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$25.00May 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$30.14May 17, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$50.38May 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?$56.01May 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$54.75May 17, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$3.01May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.03May 17, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".