Untrue-Embellishment
0xa88de6dab220c50629fc3033d5a42ff2c35b9830
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$789.82
Total PnL
$-781.01
Realised
$-43.52
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$107.14
$7.14
- YES
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$107.14
$7.14
- YES
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
11111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$94.44
$-5.56
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
36667 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$91.67
$-107.36
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
23900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.75
$-19.69
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$54.17
$4.17
- YES
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.57
$3.57
- YES
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
30583 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$45.88
$-45.88
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$35.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$35.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.74May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.06May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.12May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$4.75May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.22May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$46.99May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.37May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00May 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.09May 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.22May 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00May 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.14May 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.00May 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.31May 18, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".