Agonizing-Criterion
0xa895f9116473ad4cf21875c6445b641296a4ee3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$183.41
Total PnL
$0.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
23 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$23.06
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$20.16
$0.16
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 10-16?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- NO
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$10.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$23.01Mar 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$20.00Mar 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?$10.00Mar 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colby Donaldson win Survivor Season 50?$20.00Mar 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?$20.00Mar 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 10-16?$20.00Mar 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$20.00Mar 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$30.00Mar 15, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?$20.04Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.06Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$20.06Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$20.12Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?$20.21Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$41.15Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$41.37Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?$20.11Dec 10, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$20.00Dec 10, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$20.00Dec 10, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?$20.00Dec 10, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $41.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".