Regular-Insect
0xa8cf138edf8cc482cfffed88a42e455ead8e6b0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$675.91
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
3194 shares @ 19.8¢·now 8.7¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$277.53
$-355.31
- YES
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
983 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$167.05
$-107.95
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
284 shares @ 42.3¢·now 32.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.78
$-28.22
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
293 shares @ 36.5¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.38
$-17.62
- YES
Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
1375 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$50.17
$-49.82
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
1672 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
1488 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-620.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
590 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-299.99
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
560 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$51.84May 12, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$51.67May 12, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$51.87May 12, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$85.64May 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$103.38May 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$103.24May 11, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$103.17May 11, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$102.85May 7, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$102.93May 7, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$745.51May 7, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$500.00Mar 24, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$254.50Mar 23, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$258.68Mar 23, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?$107.00Jan 27, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$150.00Jan 27, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" this week? (February 1)$200.00Jan 26, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$454.55Jan 15, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$420.00Jan 4, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?$100.00Jan 4, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$200.00Jan 4, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $173.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 18:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".