0xa8d2776014f3eb99b6c208d3daa22d9014b6d6d2
0xa8d2776014f3eb99b6c208d3daa22d9014b6d6d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$-25.4K
Realised
$2.2K
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
7545 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.4K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1086 shares @ 1.8¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$558.84
$539.11
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
400 shares @ 65.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$288.00
$28.00
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
423 shares @ 48.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$251.70
$44.59
- NO
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
316 shares @ 47.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$250.93
$102.30
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
200 shares @ 51.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.00
$71.00
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.98
$39.98
- NO
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
147 shares @ 63.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$127.16
$34.55
- YES
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1195 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.75
$11.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
863 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.92
$-19.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$200.00Apr 15, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?$1.5KApr 15, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.70Apr 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$17.46Apr 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.58Apr 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$32.44Mar 25, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$74.75Mar 25, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$15.66Mar 24, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$5.94Mar 24, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$137.15Mar 24, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?$201.17Mar 24, 16:22 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Mar 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$99.00Mar 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$99.00Mar 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$67.95Feb 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$52.78Feb 10, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$9.18Feb 10, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$6.12Feb 10, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$4.08Feb 10, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$4.90Feb 10, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $122.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".