Thrifty-Expression
0xa8de76ef9943062b8a02582d140cdaa8ff0d5976
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$42.67
Total PnL
$6.96
Realised
$1.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
11 shares @ 99.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.76
$-0.14
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.82
$-0.11
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.78
$-0.15
- YES
Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 8.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.38
$2.69
- YES
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
86 shares @ 2.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$1.37
- NO
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.59
$1.47
- YES
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 31.1¢·now 41.9¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.51
$0.13
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
4 shares @ 5.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.90May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.93May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.93May 18, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$31.50May 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$31.47May 5, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill between 16 and 18 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?$1.47May 3, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$30.00May 2, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$23.00Apr 30, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$22.70Apr 25, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike UAE again in March?$27.00Apr 9, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike UAE again in March?$24.95Apr 8, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike UAE again in March?$2.00Apr 8, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$0.00Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 22?$0.00Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 19?$0.00Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West release an album in 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill BTS release a new song in 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMduplicate Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.00Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in January?$0.00Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple dip to $232 in January?$0.00Apr 1, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".