Cumbersome-Candle
0xa906721238942bd9029ec9af68ac831af93084e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-109.59
Realised
$-79.14
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- SOUTH DAKOTA COYOTES
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota Coyotes
1522 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$1.5K
$380.50
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
1064 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.1K
$1.06
- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
444 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$444.00
$71.04
- YES
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
255 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$255.00
$61.20
- SAN DIEGO TOREROS
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves
224 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$224.00
$199.36
- OVER
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
174 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$174.00
$59.16
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
145 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$145.00
$50.75
- MILLONARIOS FC
Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$111.00
$81.03
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
584 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.84
$-20.44
- YES
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?
173 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.92
$0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)$29.97Apr 23, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$48.00Apr 23, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$30.88Apr 12, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$174.00Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$176.70Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$159.30Apr 11, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$2.10Apr 11, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$185.60Apr 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$174.72Apr 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$188.48Apr 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$107.36Apr 9, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$441.64Apr 9, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$549.00Apr 8, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$164.90Apr 8, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$19.24Mar 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$326.71Mar 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$34.41Mar 30, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$128.48Mar 30, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?$164.78Mar 30, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$39.82Mar 30, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $203.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".