Hoarse-Monument
0xa9161669527d103f1bddcc7475acc1b84129c6a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$209.40
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$169.44
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
3188 shares @ 0.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$176.93
$170.55
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
1535 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$20.72
$17.65
- YES
US x China Military clash before 2027?
196 shares @ 4.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.76
$3.92
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
49979 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.98
- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
49966 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.97
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
49873 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.87
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
49850 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.85
- YES
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
49797 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- YES
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
49721 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.72
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
49521 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.03Feb 20, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.07Feb 20, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.04Feb 20, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.01Feb 20, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.06Feb 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.01Feb 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.05Feb 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.19Feb 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.09Feb 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.11Feb 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Feb 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Feb 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.04Feb 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.02Feb 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.04Feb 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.03Feb 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.11Feb 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.03Feb 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.05Feb 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.03Feb 20, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".