Failing-Pathogenesis
0xa992f3a5a05f1d926bbe1d1504d412b8e2262976
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$415.45
Total PnL
$0.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$200.37
$0.40
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
165 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$165.02
$0.49
- NO
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$164.56Apr 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$200.00Apr 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?$10.00Apr 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$10.00Apr 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 15, 09:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Mar 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$60.14Mar 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$113.98Mar 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$59.97Feb 6, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$101.47Jan 22, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$23.09Jan 22, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$23.09Jan 22, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$24.07Jan 22, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$24.10Jan 22, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $310 before 2026?$67.09Jan 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $310 before 2026?$66.69Dec 9, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$24.00Dec 9, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$23.00Dec 9, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $915.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".