Inexperienced-Grandfather
0xa99b41e9ac6539fbcabce0703127b78438bd1211
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-189.80
Win rate
44%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
817 shares @ 61.2¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$520.84
$20.83
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
685 shares @ 73.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$518.13
$18.08
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
617 shares @ 81.1¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$501.60
$1.54
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2632 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$490.79
$-9.21
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1285 shares @ 38.9¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$465.94
$-34.06
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1859 shares @ 26.9¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$452.60
$-47.40
- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
401 shares @ 95.2¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$379.40
$-2.21
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 93.5¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$367.20
$-6.80
- NO
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
200 shares @ 96.6¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$190.40
$-2.80
- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
232 shares @ 70.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.92
$-48.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?$19.14May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.02May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.36May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$26.10May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$0.70May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$2.60May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$7.83May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.22May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.56May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$0.01May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$0.83May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$18.12May 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$18.20May 18, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$368.00May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBenedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?$0.99May 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.30May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$0.30May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$2.40May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$0.50May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$2.60May 18, 06:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $31.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".