Tiny-Maracas
0xa9a17207f78f18521868a51e94b763c3bd66c98a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$23.3K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-733.92
Win rate
54%
123 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8172 shares @ 84.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.6K
$635.42
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
825 shares @ 95.3¢·now 86.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$711.14
$-74.55
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
680 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$647.30
$-3.12
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$568.50
$16.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
566 shares @ 89.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$494.93
$-10.14
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
606 shares @ 91.9¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$455.19
$-101.53
- NO
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$397.95
$19.87
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
340 shares @ 89.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$321.64
$16.66
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
321 shares @ 96.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$301.57
$-9.75
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
283 shares @ 93.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$275.24
$11.63
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.39May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.39May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.39May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.39May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.38May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.38May 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amelia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$0.00May 12, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.00May 12, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$0.00May 12, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$6.23May 12, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$363.40May 12, 17:22 UTC
- YIELD$1.39May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.38May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.39May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.38May 9, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?$0.00May 8, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Philip Funderburg win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$0.00May 8, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00May 8, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy Acton win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00May 8, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.00May 8, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 123 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".