Academic-Statistic
0xa9a39193f6a8f9fdbe23fb6839bcb5681e21205e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$227.01
Total PnL
$2.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
288 shares @ 26.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$205.92
$131.04
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
1615 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$15.34
$-9.66
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.75
$-19.25
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
3128 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$74.88Apr 20, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$25.00Apr 20, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$100.00Apr 20, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?$25.00Apr 20, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $56.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 03:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".