Ultimate-Rumor
0xa9cf33875d94900c2c16c9c58f42e327c980c8b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$909.47
Total PnL
$194.24
Realised
$25.09
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
6647 shares @ 10.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$864.15
$163.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?
19 shares @ 36.7¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.00
$4.90
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
11 shares @ 75.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.32
$0.81
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.55
$-0.15
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.63
$0.07
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
10 shares @ 36.2¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.85
$0.23
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.90
$0.10
- YES
Trump kiss by May 31?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.75
$-0.05
- YES
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$1.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$1.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$63.70May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$68.25May 18, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$70.00May 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.01May 18, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?$4.95May 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$3.00May 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump kiss by May 31?$1.86May 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$17.50May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$25.17May 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.70May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.70May 18, 00:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.05May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.04May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump kiss by May 31?$16.27May 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$17.40May 18, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$16.98May 18, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.76May 18, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".