Cold-Surrounds
0xa9de411b9050d1ebc0c5a57bbed99cc63d2cbfe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$27.45
Total PnL
$-7.77
Realised
$-5.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
115 shares @ 20.1¢·now 20.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$23.01
$-0.07
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
117 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.76
$-1.20
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
191 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.05
$-0.48
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
25 shares @ 5.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.62
$-0.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$90.75May 14, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.09May 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.36May 14, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.71May 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.68May 14, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.86May 13, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.72May 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.96May 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.78May 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.38May 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.87May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.54May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$17.02May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.44May 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.10May 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.08May 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$25.40May 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.39May 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.15May 13, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.06May 13, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 13:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".