Nippy-Legume
0xa9fe4929d4ea1525ca03bd0ff68ea1fbf9e7f135
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$138.6K
Total PnL
$-45.9K
Realised
$-7.7K
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
312416 shares @ 31.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.3K
$-4.4K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
416949 shares @ 9.2¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.8K
$-18.5K
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
23107 shares @ 49.2¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.7K
$-4.7K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
66126 shares @ 12.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.3K
$-2.0K
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
39113 shares @ 22.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$-2.9K
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
20233 shares @ 30.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$-3.8K
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
12500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.1K
$125.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$833.33
$-166.66
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.50
$-25.50
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
113 shares @ 12.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$28.32
$14.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.01May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$465.00May 18, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$14.31May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$428.21May 17, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.1KMay 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.59May 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.3KMay 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$21.43May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$90.00May 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.07May 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.70May 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$48.39May 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.4KMay 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.50May 17, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.43May 17, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.43May 17, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9.38May 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$117.30May 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$120.00May 17, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $308.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".