Immediate-Cousin
0xaa3eac53050b00ff3d9359af5d00135123ea3b79
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$620.42
Total PnL
$-106.10
Realised
$8.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1925 shares @ 19.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$320.48
$-57.52
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
440 shares @ 26.4¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$109.38
$-6.62
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?
41 shares @ 61.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.59
$10.59
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
31 shares @ 63.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.33
$9.67
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
48 shares @ 62.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$25.89
$-4.11
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
30 shares @ 34.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.20
$15.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$24.72
$-5.28
- NO
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
60 shares @ 33.4¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$18.86
$-1.14
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.23
$-4.77
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
33 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$42.35May 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.10May 16, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$21.91May 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$37.93May 16, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$16.43May 16, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$20.81May 16, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$37.04May 16, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$8.22May 16, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$8.76May 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$12.06May 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$11.85May 16, 17:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$26.24May 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?$26.38May 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$11.03May 15, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$3.40May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$20.53May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$51.77May 15, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $22.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".