Ancient-Era
0xaa3f32c865cf63860f774a38ebaba8549ea82d8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$198.71
Total PnL
$-33.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
152 shares @ 59.3¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$64.53
$-25.47
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
64 shares @ 47.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.40
$28.40
- YES
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
62 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.15
$-1.85
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.15
$-15.85
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.81
$0.81
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
34 shares @ 29.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.09
$-8.91
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-14 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.23May 18, 13:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$30.62May 17, 09:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?$40.42May 15, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?$10.21May 15, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$10.10May 15, 12:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.13May 14, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$40.37May 7, 05:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $29.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".