Naive-Wire
0xaa46d752750eba329f6c6d8d6e85f2bac2cd733f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$160.93
Total PnL
$-413.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1196 shares @ 16.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.16
$-122.83
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$42.55
$22.55
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
282 shares @ 8.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.09
$4.09
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
3748 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$13.12
$-136.88
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2794 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
364 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $24.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".