Passionate-Left
0xaa7575ba25247c8eb4c23dfeb39b0237fb59a864
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$120.2K
Total PnL
$4.9K
Realised
$-288.43
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
17452 shares @ 88.4¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.6K
$1.2K
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
16795 shares @ 90.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.5K
$267.43
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14325 shares @ 66.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.8K
$339.19
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
7839 shares @ 91.9¢·now 95.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.5K
$249.19
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
6833 shares @ 82.1¢·now 87.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.0K
$362.16
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5800 shares @ 78.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.5K
$989.94
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
5286 shares @ 88.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.9K
$241.49
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
4527 shares @ 78.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$623.43
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
3822 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$75.84
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
3621 shares @ 86.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$-24.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$399.96May 18, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$89.59May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?$1.06May 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?$0.01May 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?$2.11May 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?$0.01May 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?$274.41May 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?$24.13May 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$43.52May 17, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$593.19May 17, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?$136.89May 17, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$298.65May 17, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$43.63May 17, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$346.80May 17, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$666.00May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$206.40May 17, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$17.78May 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$17.78May 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$49.02May 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$388.35May 17, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $109.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".