Crazy-Cranberry
0xaa81efdc21ae5511553e76d60fb1a845f999aaf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
191
Open notional
$236.38
Total PnL
$-579.97
Realised
$28.47
Win rate
31%
77 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- NO
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 48.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$48.95
$43.95
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
43 shares @ 20.6¢·now 50.6¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$22.01
$13.05
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.47
$5.48
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
22 shares @ 50.5¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$15.02
$4.02
- NO
APYX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
32 shares @ 12.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$14.54
$10.66
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
12 shares @ 80.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
12 shares @ 84.1¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.08
$1.08
- YES
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?
37 shares @ 14.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.57
$5.37
- NO
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
11 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.27
$1.14
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
68 shares @ 7.4¢·now 12.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.28
$3.28
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTori FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.12May 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Samsunspor (-2.5)$19.47May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?$9.90May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?$2.25May 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$11.08May 17, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLCambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?$2.77May 17, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAPYX FDV above $300M one day after launch?$24.19May 17, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$0.88May 17, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$12.00May 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$6.64May 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.92May 17, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$3.77May 17, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?$11.68May 17, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.08May 17, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$2.76May 17, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLO/U 2.5 Rounds$8.50May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?$2.00May 16, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England rate hike in 2026?$8.30May 16, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.31May 16, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 77 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".