Repentant-Shackle
0xaa9f65acf563e0c257b5ba92e6d52301311f0df3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-344.35
Realised
$299.11
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
330 shares @ 58.7¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$247.50
$53.80
- YES
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
856 shares @ 29.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$243.91
$-7.08
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
900 shares @ 55.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$220.55
$-278.08
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 74.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.50
$-37.50
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 44.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$169.76
$80.85
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
150 shares @ 84.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$125.25
$-1.25
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
222 shares @ 14.9¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$105.26
$72.13
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
107 shares @ 82.2¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.82
$12.52
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$85.50
$58.50
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
334 shares @ 15.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.93
$31.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.79May 15, 18:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.42May 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.10May 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.68May 13, 19:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$1.65May 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8.00May 12, 14:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.77May 12, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.52May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$32.00May 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$12.85May 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$6.83May 10, 17:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $9.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".