Indelible-Octagon
0xaaa03e3c08de8921a6c503b772bcd34d70b0dea3
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$71.63
Total PnL
$-57.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
82 shares @ 24.3¢·now 28.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$23.05
$3.05
- YES
Will Lens win Coupe de France?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$20.14
$0.14
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 34.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$8.31
$-1.69
- YES
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$6.06
$-3.94
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
31 shares @ 94.8¢·now 13.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$3.98
$-25.02
- YES
Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$1.45
$-8.55
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$20.00Apr 30, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lens win Coupe de France?$20.17Apr 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$20.61Apr 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$10.14Apr 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$10.02Apr 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$10.10Apr 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$20.04Apr 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$9.02Apr 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?$10.26Apr 30, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $14.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".