Shimmering-Action
0xaab674486bc938bfad6a7473448ea2a4f9b2607e
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$324.60
Realised
$19.16
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
3622 shares @ 32.9¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$1.0K
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1000 shares @ 34.8¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$409.99
$62.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$377.50
$47.50
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
651 shares @ 37.5¢·now 35.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$232.70
$-11.70
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 21.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
400 shares @ 36.4¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$141.20
$-4.40
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
200 shares @ 66.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$138.98
$6.98
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$133.75
$18.75
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1600 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$133.60
$-58.40
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
600 shares @ 25.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$123.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Criciúma EC win on 2026-05-17?$150.00May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$55.93May 18, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMOlympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5$150.00May 18, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$55.93May 18, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$75.00May 18, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$75.00May 18, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$150.00May 18, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$75.00May 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMInternationaux de Strasbourg: Leolia Jeanjean vs Leylah Fernandez$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMAl Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5$0.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $55.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".