Messy-Stem
0xaabf84d2b7fe1092210f6b1cf9a6cfb5fe7e21db
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$46.81
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$2.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
26 shares @ 85.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.45
$0.45
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
20 shares @ 3.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.18
$13.43
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.41
$0.41
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
98 shares @ 5.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.77
$-3.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YASTREMSKA
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill London have between 10-15mm of precipitation in May?$1.86May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in May?$2.02May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Panna Udvardy$1.01May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima$3.03May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-18?$3.04May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-18?$3.05May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$3.03May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen$3.03May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.09May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$5.98May 18, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.99May 18, 08:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.27May 17, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?$3.25May 17, 19:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Braga win on 2026-05-16?$2.21May 16, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Bernardo FC win on 2026-05-16?$3.05May 16, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-15?$5.26May 16, 18:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 16?$2.46May 15, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".