Thirsty-Dissonance
0xaafb0066edb3599445711464f8b985467a0bfa19
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.09
Total PnL
$-74.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
2547 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$-4.90
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
7583 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
863 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?
862 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
565 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$4.00Apr 9, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$2.00Apr 9, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$2.00Apr 9, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$2.00Apr 9, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?$5.00Apr 9, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$10.00Apr 9, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 9, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$10.00Apr 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 9, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$25.00Apr 9, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $7.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".