Dependable-Extinction
0xab5b86789ea4e849974ac8332fb3d25e8c71ef1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.26
Total PnL
$-9.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Kolton Schmidt / Jonathan Torres win Team Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” between September 16-30
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 8?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 8, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kolton Schmidt / Jonathan Torres win Team Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$1.00May 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.62May 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$1.04May 8, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.51May 8, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on April 8?$1.08May 8, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage$1.46May 8, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on April 8?$1.00Apr 7, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 8?$1.00Apr 7, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage$1.00Apr 7, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 7, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 11, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Mar 11, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 11, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$1.16Mar 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$1.00Feb 6, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.05Feb 6, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 23:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".