Staid-Gambling
0xab691e92014394f640e8cb4daf84fea06dbf2283
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$288.27
Realised
$1.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
634 shares @ 80.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$627.29
$117.64
- YES
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
249 shares @ 17.3¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$171.92
$128.70
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.50
$35.50
- NO
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
71 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.54
$8.54
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.38
$5.38
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
217 shares @ 6.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.45
$17.45
- NO
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
29 shares @ 13.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.93
$7.14
- YES
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
15 shares @ 79.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.78
$-1.22
- YES
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
78 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-24.14
- YES
Will President Trump sign 7 or more pieces of legislation into law in April?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEbola emergency by June 30?$150.00May 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola emergency by June 30?$9.42May 16, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$13.61May 15, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$131.27May 14, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$116.23May 14, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.10May 13, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$100.00May 12, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.30May 11, 21:05 UTC
- REWARD$2.87May 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$11.01May 7, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.36May 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$3.74May 6, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$6.30May 6, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.83May 6, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$2.01May 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$113.35May 6, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$15.64May 6, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$95.00May 6, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$12.10May 5, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$7.67May 5, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $61.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".