0xaba298e1d2b35a3a62c05159a3dfd6ddbefd003d
0xaba298e1d2b35a3a62c05159a3dfd6ddbefd003d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$87.29
Total PnL
$-32.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.86
$2.86
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
73 shares @ 27.4¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.77
$-2.23
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
1043 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.30
$-12.70
- YES
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
836 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.60
$-15.40
- NO
Chirayu Rana sued?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.39May 17, 10:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-13?$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?$2.07May 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-13?$21.52May 13, 09:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.05May 11, 08:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.01May 10, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.04May 10, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.01May 10, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$84.47May 10, 04:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".