Real-Flesh
0xabbeb2bdd30ba5c51cb14168b068103961648f37
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$12.1K
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-115.37
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
3377 shares @ 66.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$290.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?
2339 shares @ 81.2¢·now 87.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.1K
$152.17
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1106 shares @ 58.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$956.91
$306.91
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
1819 shares @ 36.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$900.46
$230.47
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
917 shares @ 69.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$774.67
$134.67
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
796 shares @ 57.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$680.61
$220.62
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
946 shares @ 74.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$676.57
$-23.43
- NO
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
613 shares @ 71.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$539.07
$99.07
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
704 shares @ 69.5¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$493.10
$3.11
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
915 shares @ 36.2¢·now 49.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$451.38
$120.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$707.29May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$305.64May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$202.20May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$395.93May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$100.93May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$102.45May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$101.66May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$103.85May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$505.90May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$504.80May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$472.23May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$801.03May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$403.41May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$222.55May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$90.00May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$1.2KMay 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$105.15May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$19.75May 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$707.85May 18, 06:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $297.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".