Radiant-Carp
0xac116fa0dd9ee9b9a48313ee28034ed904169d3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-11.4K
Realised
$2.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
2220 shares @ 86.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.0K
$27.94
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
40000 shares @ 23.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$680.00
$-8.6K
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
31000 shares @ 5.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$434.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
418 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$408.10
$10.69
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
3978 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$65.64
$-40.09
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
5000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$962.74May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$27.99May 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.79May 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.08May 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.56May 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.09May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.20May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.68May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.36May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.08May 16, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.08May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.00May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$22.93May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$54.66May 16, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.55May 16, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $35.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".