Satisfied-Receipt
0xac163cc68039474d4060c2ac750b3d6a70fa4f44
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$12.9K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-111.71
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5027 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.0K
$-5.52
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5025 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.0K
$-7.53
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
2523 shares @ 94.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.3K
$-68.84
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1879 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.07
$-6.43
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
100 shares @ 93.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$90.50
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?
60 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$54.36
$7.56
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$49.67
$32.17
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
40 shares @ 46.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 22, 2026$39.68
$21.28
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
58 shares @ 78.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$39.18
$-6.43
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.79
$14.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.10May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$14.00May 17, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$11.54May 17, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$10.00May 17, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$12.22May 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$7.25May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$6.20May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.17May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$6.20May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$6.21May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$6.20May 17, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$6.12May 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$3.11May 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$3.11May 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$3.10May 17, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.50May 17, 04:31 UTC
- YIELD$1.10May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$3.10May 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$3.13May 16, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?$11.41May 16, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".