Definite-Stool
0xac2d769c42b52188c809d7e299902a5b86aaa9c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.95
Total PnL
$-47.83
Realised
$-8.15
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
4 shares @ 19.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.04
$0.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
2 shares @ 22.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$0.04
- NO
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?
2 shares @ 25.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.22
$-0.33
- YES
Will Paul Salomone be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
83 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.12
$-12.35
- YES
Will GAM Esports win LCP 2026 Split 2?
7 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.05
$-3.10
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
44 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- NO
Will UnitedHealth Group (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 85 and 90?
1 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.62May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.17May 18, 10:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.63May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$10.44May 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$8.70May 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$1.46May 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$5.38May 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$1.45May 17, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$10.06May 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$27.81May 17, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$9.84May 17, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$16.19May 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$0.23May 17, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$9.11May 17, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?$0.03May 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$14.16May 16, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$0.23May 16, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$4.37May 16, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$7.64May 16, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $21.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".