Specific-Party
0xac4e3f7a09da45315b9e83715f1f62e3b4a7f720
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$38.50
Total PnL
$-43.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
50 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$33.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.25
$0.95
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.30
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
500 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$33.83May 18, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00May 18, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$80.00May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.52Apr 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.77Apr 12, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.80Apr 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$56.80Apr 10, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.45Mar 11, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$29.50Mar 11, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.31Mar 11, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.13Mar 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.12Mar 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$13.29Mar 11, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $13.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".