Fortunate-Hazelnut
0xac907f33498dc8a1617d0e7a9d3f7d91debe5d06
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$9.9K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-59.01
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
4470 shares @ 63.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.1K
$278.41
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2851 shares @ 81.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$33.26
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
1105 shares @ 90.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$0.62
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
600 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$580.80
$16.80
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
884 shares @ 67.9¢·now 64.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$571.97
$-28.02
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1732 shares @ 35.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$545.55
$-64.45
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
536 shares @ 63.4¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$329.57
$-10.43
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
667 shares @ 39.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$290.00
$30.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$245.00
$-444.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
206 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$198.90
$-1.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.6KMay 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.7KMay 14, 02:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.54May 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.85May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 13, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$112.81May 13, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$247.45May 13, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?$800.26May 13, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 13, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.55May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$10.00May 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$100.00May 11, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$240.00May 11, 09:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.31May 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $633.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".