Mortified-Strobe
0xaca028da1570b3b67a3755a5725e28b525b70cda
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$593.44
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-16.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
538 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$537.78
$0.27
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
49 shares @ 81.4¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$43.24
$3.24
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$12.42
$2.42
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
6678 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-961.98
- NO
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
1164 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
173 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 23?
118 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
116 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.01
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$537.47May 13, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.1KMay 6, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$372.22Apr 30, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$705.25Apr 30, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$369.99Apr 20, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?$369.99Apr 20, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?$369.99Apr 17, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$20.00Apr 16, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMGenius FDV above $20M one day after launch?$10.23Apr 16, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMGenius FDV above $80M one day after launch?$11.90Apr 16, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMGenius FDV above $1B one day after launch?$153.93Apr 16, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMGenius FDV above $50M one day after launch?$213.92Apr 16, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $20M one day after launch?$10.01Apr 9, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$10.01Apr 9, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$700.31Apr 8, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $50M one day after launch?$100.00Apr 8, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$10.00Apr 8, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $50M one day after launch?$100.00Apr 8, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$779.64Apr 8, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?$29.84Apr 8, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $317.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 02:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".