Elegant-Nephew
0xad0481b961f7d0955e1a7163b5ae74e8bbc2dce5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$148.77
Realised
$97.07
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?
1261 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$1.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
990 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$990.00
$108.90
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
847 shares @ 82.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$847.00
$147.38
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
552 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$551.72
$0.28
- AFGHANISTAN
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
906 shares @ 10.1¢·now 21.6¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$195.70
$104.19
- NO
Will Trump say "Arc de Trump" or "Arch de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in April?
34 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$34.00
$4.79
- YES
Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.60
$-67.40
- NO
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 23?
1122 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-762.96
- YES
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
481 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-76.96
- YES
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-03-06?
410 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-102.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Arc de Trump" or "Arch de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in April?$351.54Apr 27, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Arc de Trump" or "Arch de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in April?$353.98Apr 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$340.17Apr 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$84.33Apr 7, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$7.17Apr 7, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.2KApr 7, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?$0.16Apr 7, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?$99.36Apr 7, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?$102.24Apr 7, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00Apr 3, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$539.00Apr 3, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$30.69Mar 31, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.70Mar 31, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$358.80Mar 30, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$196.84Mar 30, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$83.49Mar 29, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?$92.07Mar 29, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$361.56Mar 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?$485.94Mar 26, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?$46.28Mar 26, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $234.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".