Sardonic-Characterization
0xad3355f6b0bfdc12e61b88f550c22a13f7ed9962
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-17.24
Realised
$3.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$0.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?
800 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$798.80
$1.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
425 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$413.84
$1.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$394.60
$0.60
- NO
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
253 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.26
$5.07
- NO
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
200 shares @ 93.8¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.70
$1.10
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
100 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.35
$1.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
120 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.45
$-1.79
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$413.62May 15, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$679.83May 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$117.77May 14, 05:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05May 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$168.71May 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$137.85May 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$5.87May 13, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$15.66May 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$13.02May 13, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.4KMay 13, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$131.75May 12, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$95.90May 11, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$137.81May 10, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$46.20May 10, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$88.00May 7, 04:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.20May 7, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$57.00May 6, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$78.00May 6, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$394.00May 6, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $290.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".