Thin-Affair
0xad3e5dbd38c2e2db850baaf7a1f0087fa2293cd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$359.14
Total PnL
$-1.49
Realised
$-5.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?
105 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$104.95
$1.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?
97 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$96.95
$0.34
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$51.80
$1.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?
27 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$26.85
$0.26
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 23?
15 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$14.84
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?
12 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 20, 2026$12.06
$0.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?
12 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.99
$0.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.99
$0.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.89
$0.29
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 22?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.86
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$16.84May 18, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 17?$10.00May 17, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 17?$7.00May 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 23?$14.85May 17, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 23?$5.00May 17, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 22?$4.95May 17, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 22?$9.91May 17, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$9.78May 17, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?$29.37May 16, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?$15.00May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?$9.63May 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?$11.87May 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?$9.91May 16, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$32.00May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18?$96.64May 16, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?$10.99May 15, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?$50.00May 15, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$35.00May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?$1.00May 15, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?$98.42May 15, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $25.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".