Glass-Cupcake
0xad5057e6947081649c263a538d58899117e63122
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$16.21
Total PnL
$110.66
Realised
$133.27
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.39
$9.09
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
9 shares @ 20.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.62
$1.74
- YES
Will Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?
24 shares @ 1.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.20
$2.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 7?
308 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?
109 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 1?
107 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 5?
79 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 220-230mm of precipitation in May?$0.24May 18, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?$0.20May 18, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$882.55May 18, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.1KMay 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?$0.08May 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?$0.10May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$1.95May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$99.81May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$699.33May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$339.58May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?$4.92May 17, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 19?$5.61May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 19?$0.66May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 19?$1.54May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 19?$4.55May 17, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$11.12May 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$4.23May 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?$1.0KMay 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?$836.79May 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?$712.64May 17, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $129.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".