0xad703ba9fa7af1447bfcfe22522d052df64f4ccf
0xad703ba9fa7af1447bfcfe22522d052df64f4ccf
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$206.03
Total PnL
$-38.38
Realised
$9.17
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
106 shares @ 11.3¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$56.31
$44.31
- NO
Will "Is God Is" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$49.50
$46.50
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?
42 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$41.29
$3.49
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
50 shares @ 23.9¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$18.00
$6.05
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
90 shares @ 16.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$15.69
$0.69
- YES
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
371 shares @ 8.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$7.04
$-24.18
- BURNLEY FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.05
$0.25
- BURNLEY FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.75
$0.15
- YES
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?
439 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.41
$-25.20
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
1350 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.02
$-19.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$0.41May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$1.68May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.85May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$0.15May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Is God Is" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$3.00May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?$1.00May 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?$6.40May 18, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?$1.59May 18, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?$9.81May 18, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.00May 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?$20.09May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$1.43May 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$0.10May 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$0.04May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$0.03May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$0.01May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$0.01May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$0.01May 17, 23:59 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 18 - May 20, 2026?$10.00May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$8.47May 17, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".