Candid-Convection
0xad7bf3b51cb001c94c2b961c90f42b4c35a7f985
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$24.00
Total PnL
$3.08
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
António Guterres out by December 31?
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.69
$4.69
- YES
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.4¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$2.04May 6, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAntónio Guterres out by December 31?$15.46May 6, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$0.28May 6, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 1, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 1, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.32May 1, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?$1.32Apr 22, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$1.29Apr 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$0.84Apr 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.05Apr 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.05Apr 17, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$1.46Apr 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.08Apr 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00Apr 17, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.00Apr 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$1.00Apr 17, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 17, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".