0xad8804dd5f47ed15428b54f5a33da760e75fe5c5
0xad8804dd5f47ed15428b54f5a33da760e75fe5c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$220.30
Total PnL
$-146.75
Realised
$32.01
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
135 shares @ 25.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.92
$14.17
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
275 shares @ 38.9¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.95
$-73.93
- YES
Deel IPO before 2027?
130 shares @ 26.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.65
$-7.80
- YES
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
140 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.63
$3.49
- YES
Anduril IPO before 2027?
135 shares @ 40.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.23
$-36.93
- YES
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?
125 shares @ 23.1¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$-11.41
- NO
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
140 shares @ 27.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$14.70
$-23.15
- YES
Remote IPO before 2027?
50 shares @ 49.4¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.49
$-11.19
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
120 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.78
$-1.20
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
242 shares @ 12.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.35
$-21.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Mar 25, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.46Mar 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.47Mar 12, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.47Mar 12, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.47Mar 12, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.48Mar 12, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.48Mar 12, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.48Mar 12, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.49Mar 12, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.46Mar 12, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.46Mar 12, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.46Mar 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.47Mar 12, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.47Mar 12, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.47Mar 12, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.47Mar 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.48Mar 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.48Mar 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.48Mar 12, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$0.49Mar 12, 08:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 06:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 21:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".